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Game Center · S1 · W7 · Upcoming

Miami at New York

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 1 . Week 7
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Dolphins
Miami
3-1MIA
Johnson (Dolphins) Discord avatarJohnson (Dolphins)
Upcoming

Forecast pending - lines post after the next sync.

📊COIN FLIP
A ATLAS READ

Jets are favored, and the model agrees.

Jets enter with the model lean at 50% and enough statistical support to back the record. Dolphins need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Jets deeper into the race. Dolphins need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Jets are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #2 offense, 485 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 44.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
Why Dolphins can win
  • EDGEYardage profile - #9 offense, 400 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEBall security - a +0.50 better turnover margin than Jets.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Dolphins

Finish scoring drives

Dolphins need their 31.8 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Jets

Win the clean possessions

Jets are the model side at 50%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Dolphins can win the stat sheet; Jets can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Miami DolphinsSeason leaders

Dolphins need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

M. Willis
QB · Miami Dolphins
841
PASS YDS
9TD
1INT
D. Achane
HB · Miami Dolphins
601
RUSH YDS
5TD
73ATT
C. Douglas
WR · Miami Dolphins
211
REC YDS
2TD
12REC
New York JetsSeason leaders

Jets lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

C. Klubnik
QB · New York Jets
1,000
PASS YDS
13TD
10INT
B. Hall
HB · New York Jets
789
RUSH YDS
9TD
69ATT
G. Wilson
WR · New York Jets
386
REC YDS
5TD
16REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Dolphins3-1 · last 4
WW4@ Vikings31-25
LW3vs Chiefs27-31
WW2@ 49ers49-31
WW1@ Raiders20-13
Jets2-2 · last 4
WW4@ Bears56-28
LW3@ Lions59-73
LW2vs Packers28-31
WW1@ Titans35-6
05

Head to head

Recent finals
NYJ 4-1 MIARecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S6 · W11Jets at DolphinsNYJ16-14
S6 · W2Dolphins at JetsMIA28-13
S5 · W18Jets at DolphinsNYJ33-27
S5 · W14Dolphins at JetsNYJ41-17
S4 · W4Jets at DolphinsNYJ49-30