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Game Center · S1 · W7 · Upcoming

New England at Chicago

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 1 . Week 7
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Patriots
New England
1-3NE
ODiddysseus (Pats) Discord avatarODiddysseus (Pats)
Upcoming

Forecast pending - lines post after the next sync.

Home
Bears
Chicago
1-3CHI
Troy (Bears) Discord avatarTroy (Bears)
📊COIN FLIP
A ATLAS READ

Bears are favored, and the model agrees.

Bears enter with the model lean at 50% and enough statistical support to back the record. Patriots need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Bears deeper into the race. Patriots need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Bears are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #8 offense, 408 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • RISKTurnovers - a -2.50 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
Why Patriots can win
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 24.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +2.50 better turnover margin than Bears.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Patriots

Finish scoring drives

Patriots need their 24.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Bears

Win the clean possessions

Bears are the model side at 50%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Patriots can win the stat sheet; Bears can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
New England PatriotsSeason leaders

Patriots need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

D. Maye
QB · New England Patriots
1,001
PASS YDS
6TD
9INT
T. Henderson
HB · New England Patriots
344
RUSH YDS
4TD
59ATT
T. Henderson
HB · New England Patriots
301
REC YDS
3TD
24REC
Chicago BearsSeason leaders

Bears lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

C. Williams
QB · Chicago Bears
1,340
PASS YDS
13TD
14INT
D. Swift
HB · Chicago Bears
210
RUSH YDS
1TD
38ATT
Z. Thomas
WR · Chicago Bears
394
REC YDS
2TD
14REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Patriots1-3 · last 4
WW4@ Bills41-28
LW3@ Jaguars31-34
LW2vs Steelers18-23
LW1@ Seahawks8-32
Bears1-3 · last 4
LW4vs Jets28-56
LW3vs Eagles9-34
WW2vs Vikings40-35
LW1@ Panthers20-37
05

Head to head

Recent finals
CHI 1-2 NERecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.
S6 · W14Patriots at BearsNE49-34
S4 · W12Bears at PatriotsCHI28-24
S2 · W6Bears at PatriotsNE50-45