Game Center · S1 · W5 · Upcoming
San Francisco at Seattle
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 1 . Week 5
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Z (49ers)
49ers
San Francisco
2-1SF
Z (49ers)Upcoming
53%SF
47%SEA
ATLAS projected final
29SF
-28SEA
Confidence53%
Primary driverBalanced
Home
Dragon Caesar (Seahawks)
Seahawks
Seattle
1-3SEA
Dragon Caesar (Seahawks)A ATLAS READ
49ers are favored, and the model agrees.
Seahawks bring the sharper yardage profile at 333 YPG with a #24 offense. 49ers still own the cleaner path: 53% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
Why it mattersA win pulls 49ers deeper into the race. Seahawks need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why 49ers are favored
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 31.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +1.17 better turnover margin than Seahawks.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #5 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Seahawks can win
- EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 2 meetings in this series.
- EDGEGame script - Seahawks can tilt this if they keep 49ers out of short fields.
02
Keys to the game
1Seahawks
Finish scoring drives
Seahawks need their 22.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
249ers
Win the clean possessions
49ers are the model side at 53%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Seahawks can win the stat sheet; 49ers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
San Francisco 49ers
49ers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
B. Purdy
QB · San Francisco 49ers
630
PASS YDS
5TD
4INT
C. McCaffrey
HB · San Francisco 49ers
362
RUSH YDS
5TD
50ATT
M. Evans
WR · San Francisco 49ers
162
REC YDS
2TD
10REC
Seattle Seahawks
Seahawks lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
S. Darnold
QB · Seattle Seahawks
1,147
PASS YDS
5TD
9INT
J. Price
HB · Seattle Seahawks
131
RUSH YDS
3TD
32ATT
J. Smith-Njigba
WR · Seattle Seahawks
415
REC YDS
1TD
18REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
SEA 4-1 SFRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S6 · W1449ers at SeahawksSEA27-25
S6 · W2Seahawks at 49ersSEA41-14
S5 · W9Seahawks at 49ersSF20-17
S5 · W149ers at SeahawksSEA35-28
S4 · W17Seahawks at 49ersSEA21-20